#38 Drought Hysteria Deconstruction
Climate Claptrap XII

Quick aside Beware Assumptions

- Spring is arriving early ? when I typed "spring is arriving later into Google" I got some hit's : Southern Illinois, in parts of Siberia the snow is staying on the ground 1 month longer etc .

"Rain makes no difference to Drought" -AHA !

- The environment minister was just on the radio : "If we get a 3rd dry winter in a row then there could be standpipes in the street next summer" ... Do I have to deconstruct why a preoccupaion with possible, but unlikely catastrophe far in the future is daft ?
- Also on today's radio : "one driver has died in the floods". In Goole a local potato farmer said "this flooding has cost me £60,000" "Why is she talking about next summer ? We could possibly get another dry winter, but then we could also get a wet summer (as usual, & summer rainfall is higher than winter normally anyway), This is the UK, it will almost certainly rain enough to sustain normal life even if there are occasional "droughts" where it doesn't rain for 6-7 weeks. The only issue is bad water management. Odds on when droughts break it will turn out authorities will have been overcautious & that there are many months of water in the reserves.

- I lived in Adelaide in 2005 where it rained a lot in the "never ending drought", so I already knew what to expect.

SOME NOTES
: The aquifer argument link Ground water contributes to some 30% of the overall supply of fresh water for public supply in England and Wales"... another said 35%

- "The groundwater resource is replenished by rainfall, primarily in the winter months when the amount of water lost from the surface of the ground as a result of evaporation and uptake by plants is at a minimum. Groundwater droughts are therefore caused by relatively dry winters rather than by dry summers, although the latter do, of course, contribute."

- But Also "The groundwater level under London is rising rapidly".. so is there too much water under London ? so does todays drop in groundwater have a benefit

- "The UK Groundwater Forum, in partnership with the NERC Water Security Knowledge Exchange Programme (WSKEP) is holding its annual conference on drought issues and will be followed by a WSKEP workshop on ‘Improving drought prediction, communication and impact assessment’. The conference and workshop will be held on 13-14th June at British Geological Survey, conference centre, Nottinghamshire"

My Rationalising them

- As ever the speakers like the BBC & the minister are in COMPLEXITY DENIAL : "this rain makes no difference to the drought..past 2 years etc. " No, 30% of supply comes from groudwater, the other 70% is pretty much OK.
The Groundwater supply is the issue not the the other 70%
- and 1. Even for the groundwater The fact that the "resource is replenished by rainfall, primarily in the winter months" doesn't mean we can say the April rains make no difference; it is reasonable to expect that a lot of that excessive April rain will overtime go into the groundwater.
2. Presumably we don't have to take 30% from groundwater anyway. We could probably cut it to 20% & take another 10% from surface water.

The River Pang Trick
- I noticed the authorities were taking reporters to the River Pang "look this river is still dry" . I checked the River Pang is not a normal river. Most say 80-99% of rivers get their water from rainwater flowing off the land, the River Pang is different it is a spring-fed chalk stream : it gets it's water from the watertable spreading up through chalk and when I check the info check the info for it all those special conditions the media churn-out apply to it. It's says stuff like "The River Pang is a chalk stream that starts north of the village, the exact starting ... are mainly replenished by rain that falls during the Autumn and early Winter"

.. BTW Yes it's easy to show the River Pang dry as it's a very shallow river it's only 20cm deep normally & 35cm is considered a flood enviroments Agencies own graphs for River Pang. River Pang has been Thames Water's special project for years as it keeps flooding & damaging property... so they have probably been taking steps to keep it low. - God I just read the page below it even says the River Pang has a strange pattern & sometimes dries up randomly in normal years

Strange drought narrative

- The weatherman & journalists have been saying the same strange bollocks "this record rainfall makes no difference to the 'drought, because" etc. .. turns out what they say applies to one particular SPECIAL TYPE OF RIVER & they are extrapolating that as if it applies to all rivers. I can see what they are doing a little spin to keep people relaxing too much about drought grows like in a game of Chinese whispers to become a big lie. There's a parallel with their Climate Change talk they've been doing the for years.

- Their script says : "this record rainfall makes no difference to the 'drought' since the watertable needs to catchup from 2 years of lower than normal rainfall, this rain just evaporates as the ground is too hard to aborb it, what counts is autumn & early winter rain." All that is complete BS & can be taken apart bit by bit; for a start the temperature is much lower than normal & it rains at nioght so that water won't be evaporatring.. and in our area the watre table is so high that there is a lot of standing water now, a klot of rainwater is flowing off the fields & into the drains, rivers & out to sea, no effort is being made to stop it as there is plenty of water here. So what are they on about ? : AHA I WORKED IT OUT on Tuesday evening on Radio 4 the reporter said !"Here I am at the River Pang , in Berkshire & as we can see it's still dried up the drought is nowhere near ending.

- WTF most rivers are near overflowing & she manages to find one of the extremely few dry ones . I checked the River Pang is not a normal river;. Most say 80-99% of rivers get their water from rainwater flowing off the land, the River Pang is different it is a The spring-fed chalk stream : it gets it's water from the watertable spreading up through chalk and when I check the info check the info for it all those special conditions the media churn-out apply to it. It's says stuff like "The River Pang is a chalk stream that starts north of the village, the exact starting ... are mainly replenished by rain that falls during the Autumn and early Winter"

- actually an academic paper says Spring rain does make a difference "The water table varies in height throughout the year, falling during the summer and autumn months and recovering (due to recharge by rainfall) during the winter and spring months, with the largest seasonal variations observed away from the rivers. In a well at Rockley in Wiltshire, the water table varies annually from 2 to 18 metres below the surface." .. Look at that truely massive variation during even normal years

.. BTW Yes it's easy to show the River Pang dry as it's a very shallow river it's only 20cm deep normally & 35cm is considered a flood enviroments Agencies own graphs for River Pang. River Pang has been Thames Water's special project for years as it keeps flooding & damaging property... so they have probably been taking steps to keep it low. - God I just read the page below it even says the River Pang has a strange pattern & sometimes dries up randomly in normal years

BBC Inside OUt Drought Porn Special
- The BBCNews-eco-activists must have been crying when in the middle of them making their drought porn special we got the highest April rainfall ever (in our area)

- Thank God our local weather forecaster Paul Hudson said
"So many people ask me after this 18 month to 2 year dry spell 'Is climate change to blame?' Well since it predicts wetter winters and drier summers I suspect that it's highly unlikely"
..then went onto say they'll be more rain next week.

- Seems the Enviro Dept has been getting itself in a tizz over the drought ... & then the weather comes round ..like it always does eventually

- our shed roof has a 1200L water butt which I have emptied 3 times this year (twice this month), I didn't think I am worried about conserving water.

Video of Conservative Climate Activists

- New name is water scarcity ...now I know the reason for drought porn ..even though we've had to empty our rainwater tanks 3 times this year.
- They just said "It's a small minority who disagree with us" - deluded

- I have a new games ... everytime the greens annoy me that gives me motivation to do something profoundly ungreen.

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